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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433102060804735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7784
#19
16.20.6
14.314.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.1
red by 1.8
9572
#18
14.40.2
11.611.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Second
1684
#11
15.70.9
15.716.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 7.9
6071
#36
7.80.2
11.211.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Third
2604
#22
7.30.9
7.58.4
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End1.1
blue by 0.2
5527
#28
7.50.2
6.76.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed