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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36500204060803951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7289
#10
18.50.1
16.516.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 4.2
494
#7
22.70.3
19.619.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Second
8193
#16
12.70.1
11.110.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 5.4
3534
#12
18.10.3
15.816.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
6085
#39
5.00.1
6.76.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.0
blue by 2.5
5193
#40
7.50.3
7.98.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed