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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406220801002681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.11.2
16.915.7
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 16.4
32.52.2
27.830.0
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
Second
3568
#31
10.71.2
11.510.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.3
blue by 12.7
23.42.2
15.517.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Third
5517
#37
5.71.2
10.29.0
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 4.8
9776
#14
10.52.2
9.812.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed