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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323315202530354045504224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
#24
19.80.8
15.115.9
Auto8.3
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 6.9
5674
#32
12.90.8
10.910.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Second
9207
#26
10.90.5
9.29.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
red by 1.2
5235
#35
9.80.8
10.79.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Third
453
#38
5.00.8
4.95.6
Auto0.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 2.1
5150
#34
7.10.8
8.37.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed