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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3946203050607080902532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#29
16.31.0
16.415.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End2.2
red by 0.3
16.10.9
15.814.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Second
6091
#25
9.31.0
11.310.3
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 6.4
1684
#11
15.70.9
16.615.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
2604
#22
7.31.0
8.47.4
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End1.1
red by 2.4
7195
#27
4.90.9
8.07.0
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed