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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5149204060801005751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#7
22.70.5
19.820.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 2.7
5561
#15
19.90.4
18.018.4
Auto10.4
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Second
14.40.5
14.715.2
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 3.7
3534
#12
18.10.5
16.016.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
7772
#20
11.50.5
11.712.2
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 1.1
8193
#16
12.70.5
10.911.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed