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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6948204060801001207242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.0
30.031.1
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
red by 4.2
28.30.4
26.426.0
Auto15.6
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Second
16.11.0
15.716.7
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.4
red by 6.9
5183
#23
9.20.4
8.68.2
Auto5.6
Teleop0.5
End3.1
Third
6753
#13
14.61.0
14.515.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
red by 6.8
6071
#36
7.80.4
11.311.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed