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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423801001502002635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#17
14.91.9
16.514.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
blue by 2.0
16.90.2
18.017.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End0.9
Second
9776
#14
10.51.9
12.010.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 0.3
3568
#31
10.70.2
10.310.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.3
Third
5517
#37
5.71.9
9.07.1
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 1.8
5527
#28
7.50.2
6.86.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed