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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3139010205060704443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9572
#18
14.40.4
11.712.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 4.1
7289
#10
18.50.6
16.417.0
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Second
9251
#30
10.80.4
9.710.1
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 0.1
9207
#26
10.90.6
9.710.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
Third
5046
#21
7.30.4
7.68.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.6
blue by 0.3
5193
#40
7.50.8
8.18.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed