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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522304060801007233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.42.5
17.720.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 12.4
8385
#33
11.00.1
12.011.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Second
5603
#24
19.82.5
15.918.4
Auto8.3
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 14.8
6085
#39
5.00.1
6.66.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.0
Third
5674
#32
12.92.5
10.112.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End0.6
red by 7.9
453
#38
5.00.1
5.65.5
Auto0.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned