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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions702504060801007115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.6
31.131.7
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
red by 22.0
9776
#14
10.51.1
10.19.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Second
494
#7
22.70.6
20.321.0
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 14.8
6071
#36
7.81.1
11.09.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Third
5527
#28
7.50.6
6.67.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End1.7
red by 2.6
7195
#27
4.91.1
7.06.0
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed