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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28470204060801003448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8193
#16
12.70.3
11.511.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End1.4
blue by 1.9
6753
#13
14.60.2
15.615.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Second
5193
#40
7.50.3
8.98.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 6.9
9572
#18
14.40.2
12.212.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Third
5517
#37
5.70.3
7.16.8
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End1.0
blue by 5.9
7772
#20
11.50.2
12.212.1
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed