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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484302060801001201406150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.91.1
17.818.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End0.9
red by 0.6
314
#29
16.30.9
15.416.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Second
16.11.1
14.916.0
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End0.9
red by 0.3
1684
#11
15.70.9
15.716.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
9207
#26
10.90.9
10.311.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
red by 1.7
5183
#23
9.20.9
8.29.1
Auto5.6
Teleop0.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned