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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4955203040607080905359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7289
#10
18.50.1
17.017.1
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 1.1
68
#2
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto8.9
Teleop8.9
End1.7
Second
14.40.1
15.215.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 1.8
7784
#19
16.20.0
15.115.0
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.1
Third
5674
#32
12.90.1
12.712.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 2.0
5612
#17
14.90.0
14.614.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned