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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3525010203040506070803718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.3
16.716.4
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.4
red by 6.4
5235
#35
9.80.5
10.09.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Second
2604
#22
7.30.3
7.47.1
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End1.1
Level
5046
#21
7.30.5
8.07.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.6
Third
6085
#39
5.00.3
6.56.2
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.0
Level
453
#38
5.00.5
5.55.1
Auto0.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed