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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703902060801006259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.2
31.731.5
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
red by 12.7
5603
#24
19.81.3
18.419.7
Auto8.3
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
16.10.2
16.015.8
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End0.9
red by 3.4
8193
#16
12.71.1
11.212.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Third
8385
#33
11.00.2
11.911.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.6
red by 0.5
9776
#14
10.51.1
9.010.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed