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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435920801351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.92.1
18.916.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End0.9
blue by 2.6
68
#2
19.51.1
19.518.3
Auto8.9
Teleop8.9
End1.7
Second
7772
#20
11.52.1
12.110.0
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 4.2
1684
#11
15.71.1
16.615.4
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
6071
#36
7.82.1
9.97.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 6.8
6753
#13
14.61.1
15.414.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed