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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504302060801001207246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7289
#10
18.51.1
17.118.1
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 1.5
5561
#15
19.90.1
18.518.4
Auto10.4
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Second
7784
#19
16.21.1
15.016.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.1
blue by 0.1
314
#29
16.30.1
16.316.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Third
9572
#18
14.41.2
12.013.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 9.4
453
#38
5.00.1
5.15.0
Auto0.6
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed