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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51240204060801007410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.6
16.415.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.2
End1.4
red by 6.8
6091
#25
9.31.1
10.59.3
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End1.1
Second
5612
#17
14.90.6
14.614.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
red by 7.4
5193
#40
7.51.1
8.67.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
8385
#33
11.00.6
11.711.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.6
red by 6.0
6085
#39
5.01.1
6.25.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed