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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6342020801001205145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.6
27.927.3
Auto15.6
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 5.6
494
#7
22.70.2
21.021.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Second
14.40.6
15.314.7
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
red by 1.5
5674
#32
12.90.2
12.812.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Third
9207
#26
10.90.6
11.110.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9
red by 3.7
2604
#22
7.30.2
7.17.3
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed