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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47392060801006444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.2
22.122.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 3.6
5603
#24
19.80.2
19.719.8
Auto8.3
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
9251
#30
10.80.2
10.610.8
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End0.6
red by 1.0
5235
#35
9.80.2
9.69.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Third
5183
#23
9.20.2
9.19.2
Auto5.6
Teleop0.5
End3.1
red by 1.8
5527
#28
7.50.2
7.37.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed