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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87392060801001201408361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.1
31.531.7
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
red by 14.1
7289
#10
18.50.4
18.118.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Second
28.30.1
27.327.4
Auto15.6
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 15.6
8193
#16
12.70.4
12.312.8
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Third
5612
#17
14.90.1
14.014.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
red by 4.0
9207
#26
10.90.4
10.611.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End1.9