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Red62
72034.9
611425.5
205437.6
Blue70
496727.7
505619.7
387522.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616040507080906270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.4
32.933.4
Auto12.1
Teleop20.5
End5.1
red by 10.0
4967
#10
27.71.1
24.125.1
Auto8.3
Teleop16.5
End2.8
Second
25.50.4
19.319.8
Auto9.4
Teleop13.3
End2.9
red by 3.3
22.21.1
16.017.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Third
7203
#36
4.90.4
3.13.6
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
blue by 14.8
5056
#17
19.71.1
14.215.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed