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Red56
79118.9
92069.1
608135.5
Blue40
828519.9
400425.3
96716.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514901001502002503005640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#15
35.50.3
31.131.5
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End3.0
red by 10.2
4004
#12
25.30.3
23.022.7
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End2.0
Second
9206
#20
9.10.3
5.76.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 10.8
8285
#23
19.90.3
15.915.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Third
7911
#22
8.90.3
9.09.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 2.1
9671
#35
6.70.3
5.45.1
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed