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Red70
387522.2
205437.6
79118.9
Blue50
496727.7
72106.7
972116.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6949204060801001207050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.3
33.433.0
Auto12.1
Teleop20.5
End5.1
red by 10.0
4967
#10
27.70.2
25.125.3
Auto8.3
Teleop16.5
End2.8
Second
22.20.3
17.016.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.3
End3.4
red by 5.6
9721
#30
16.60.2
13.113.3
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
7911
#22
8.90.3
9.39.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 2.1
7210
#27
6.70.2
8.38.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed