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Red70
323416.9
365818.9
556722.4
Blue56
608135.5
828519.9
72034.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515702040801001207056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#26
22.40.8
19.019.8
Auto8.9
Teleop10.2
End3.3
blue by 13.1
6081
#15
35.50.4
31.531.8
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End3.0
Second
3658
#29
18.90.8
10.711.4
Auto8.0
Teleop7.9
End3.0
blue by 1.0
8285
#23
19.90.4
15.615.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Third
3234
#21
16.90.8
16.917.7
Auto8.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
red by 12.0
7203
#36
4.90.4
3.63.9
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed