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Red50
611425.5
525623.8
505619.7
Blue30
79118.9
839713.2
72106.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68270204060801001205030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.4
21.220.7
Auto9.4
Teleop13.3
End2.9
red by 12.4
8397
#16
13.20.6
12.912.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End2.3
Second
23.80.4
19.519.1
Auto6.5
Teleop14.3
End3.0
red by 14.9
7911
#22
8.90.6
9.48.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Third
5056
#17
19.70.4
16.015.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End1.6
red by 13.0
7210
#27
6.70.6
7.46.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed