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Red41
975611.8
546217.0
612817.2
Blue66
205437.6
724810.0
96716.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4356020801001204166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6128
#19
17.20.3
15.114.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End2.3
blue by 20.4
37.60.8
33.934.7
Auto12.1
Teleop20.5
End5.1
Second
5462
#24
17.00.3
12.812.5
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
red by 7.0
7248
#32
10.00.8
9.910.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Third
9756
#25
11.80.3
12.712.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.1
red by 5.0
9671
#35
6.70.8
5.46.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed