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Red30
724810.0
975611.8
505619.7
Blue56
79118.9
611425.5
972116.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424802060801001203056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5056
#17
19.71.3
15.514.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 5.8
25.50.9
20.721.6
Auto9.4
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Second
9756
#25
11.81.3
12.411.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 4.8
9721
#30
16.60.9
13.514.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Third
7248
#32
10.01.3
10.79.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End0.9
red by 1.2
7911
#22
8.90.9
8.79.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed