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Red53
96388.6
724810.0
972116.6
Blue72
956617.8
387522.2
92069.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3250204060801005372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9721
#30
16.60.3
14.715.0
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 5.6
22.20.9
19.820.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Second
7248
#32
10.00.3
8.68.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 7.8
9566
#14
17.80.9
15.216.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Third
9638
#31
8.60.3
8.18.4
Auto4.5
Teleop2.8
End1.3
blue by 0.4
9206
#20
9.10.9
8.08.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed