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Red29
52606.9
19406.9
96716.7
Blue38
95429.1
920823.7
95497.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204704060802938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#37
6.90.1
6.05.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 16.8
23.70.1
24.324.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Second
1940
#34
6.90.1
7.17.0
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 2.2
9542
#33
9.10.1
8.18.0
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End0.4
Third
9671
#35
6.70.1
8.07.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End0.4
blue by 0.6
9549
#39
7.40.1
6.76.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed