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Red65
207540.9
79118.9
28820.9
Blue73
205437.6
92069.1
920823.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7577607080901006573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.2
39.339.1
Auto14.4
Teleop22.2
End4.3
red by 3.2
37.60.2
36.436.7
Auto12.1
Teleop20.5
End5.1
Second
288
#13
20.90.2
19.919.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End2.2
blue by 2.8
23.70.2
24.224.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Third
7911
#22
8.90.2
9.08.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 0.2
9206
#20
9.10.2
8.99.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed