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Red87
972116.6
21631.9
95429.1
Blue29
323416.9
96716.7
975611.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6239020801008729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#8
31.91.6
30.131.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.7
End3.1
red by 14.9
3234
#21
16.90.6
18.417.7
Auto8.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Second
9721
#30
16.61.6
15.016.6
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 4.8
9756
#25
11.80.6
12.011.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Third
9542
#33
9.11.6
8.09.6
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End0.4
red by 2.4
9671
#35
6.70.6
7.87.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed