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Red45
387522.2
95497.4
612817.2
Blue65
828519.9
85820.8
505619.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49592040801004565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
21.020.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.3
End3.4
red by 1.4
858
#5
20.80.2
17.317.5
Auto8.4
Teleop9.9
End2.4
Second
6128
#19
17.20.2
17.217.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End2.3
blue by 2.7
8285
#23
19.90.2
17.818.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Third
9549
#39
7.40.2
7.67.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 12.3
5056
#17
19.70.2
17.117.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed