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Red50
96388.6
400425.3
839713.2
Blue67
205437.6
496727.7
19406.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448520601001205067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#12
25.30.0
22.922.9
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End2.0
blue by 12.3
37.61.0
36.735.7
Auto12.1
Teleop20.5
End5.1
Second
8397
#16
13.20.0
13.013.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 14.5
4967
#10
27.71.0
27.226.2
Auto8.3
Teleop16.5
End2.8
Third
9638
#31
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.8
End1.3
red by 1.7
1940
#34
6.91.0
7.96.9
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed