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Red74
972116.6
920823.7
608135.5
Blue80
21631.9
28820.9
724810.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8364401001207480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#15
35.50.1
32.232.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End3.0
red by 3.7
216
#8
31.91.0
31.732.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.7
End3.1
Second
23.70.1
24.524.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 2.8
288
#13
20.91.0
19.720.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.7
End2.2
Third
9721
#30
16.60.1
16.616.6
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 6.6
7248
#32
10.01.0
9.110.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed