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Red43
765814.6
972116.6
975611.8
Blue91
85820.8
839713.2
207540.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306502040801001204391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9721
#30
16.60.1
12.312.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 24.2
40.92.0
33.335.3
Auto14.4
Teleop22.2
End4.3
Second
7658
#18
14.60.1
9.29.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 6.2
858
#5
20.82.0
11.013.0
Auto8.4
Teleop9.9
End2.4
Third
9756
#25
11.80.1
9.69.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 1.4
8397
#16
13.22.0
9.911.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsEarned