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Red80
765814.6
387522.2
496727.7
Blue103
400425.3
505619.7
525623.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6668405060809010080103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#10
27.70.4
26.226.7
Auto8.3
Teleop16.5
End2.8
red by 2.3
4004
#12
25.30.9
22.923.8
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End2.0
Second
22.20.4
20.821.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.3
End3.4
blue by 1.6
23.80.9
21.422.3
Auto6.5
Teleop14.3
End3.0
Third
7658
#18
14.60.4
13.213.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 5.1
5056
#17
19.70.9
17.318.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End1.6