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Red49
612817.2
839713.2
956617.8
Blue98
608135.5
365818.9
85820.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507602040601001201404998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9566
#14
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 17.7
6081
#15
35.50.5
32.432.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End3.0
Second
6128
#19
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End2.3
blue by 3.6
858
#5
20.80.5
17.718.2
Auto8.4
Teleop9.9
End2.4
Third
8397
#16
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 5.7
3658
#29
18.90.5
15.816.3
Auto8.0
Teleop7.9
End3.0