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Red54
920823.7
323416.9
21631.9
Blue81
496727.7
387522.2
765814.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8466020401001201401605481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#8
31.90.4
32.331.9
Auto7.1
Teleop21.7
End3.1
red by 4.2
4967
#10
27.70.4
26.727.1
Auto8.3
Teleop16.5
End2.8
Second
23.70.4
24.123.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 1.5
22.20.4
21.221.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Third
3234
#21
16.90.4
17.416.9
Auto8.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
red by 2.3
7658
#18
14.60.4
13.614.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5