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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284401020405060702628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5282
#31
13.50.1
9.29.1
Auto1.3
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 9.9
70
#6
23.41.1
17.916.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
5213
#23
9.70.1
9.29.1
Auto1.2
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 3.7
9242
#22
13.51.1
10.09.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
Third
5538
#27
8.00.1
8.88.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1
red by 2.6
5697
#37
5.41.1
9.88.7
Auto1.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed