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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4934102030406070805313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4779
#10
25.91.2
14.215.4
Auto10.3
Teleop13.9
End1.7
red by 12.6
3618
#32
13.32.9
12.79.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Second
5460
#14
22.11.2
19.320.5
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 10.2
9648
#26
11.99.2
15.46.2
Auto2.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Third
13.91.2
8.79.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End0.3
red by 4.5
5260
#29
9.52.9
10.77.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed