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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4140102030506070802844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#8
21.81.0
12.611.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.3
End1.5
blue by 0.2
245
#18
22.00.8
16.617.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Second
7166
#15
20.11.0
13.512.5
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End2.2
red by 1.2
18.90.8
10.711.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Third
7202
#39
7.81.0
11.210.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 3.0
9662
#21
10.84.4
14.410.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed