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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31550204060805252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#2
21.3
Auto6.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
blue by 6.7
33
#3
28.0
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Second
7784
#13
12.1
Auto1.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 9.5
1506
#11
21.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Third
6631
#17
6.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
red by 0.7
9697
#40
6.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed