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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404910203060703960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#11
21.50.2
17.517.7
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
blue by 1.8
70
#6
23.41.3
17.118.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
7166
#15
20.10.2
11.812.0
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End2.2
blue by 1.9
5460
#14
22.11.3
19.721.1
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
13.90.2
7.88.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.3
End0.3
red by 0.3
9673
#28
13.71.3
6.17.4
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed