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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51331020406070804331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
28.00.1
21.020.9
Auto11.4
Teleop15.8
End0.8
red by 9.5
5660
#35
18.50.1
15.115.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End1.2
Second
894
#2
21.30.1
13.513.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.3
End1.0
red by 8.4
1504
#33
12.90.1
10.09.9
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.2
Third
7202
#39
7.80.1
9.49.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
red by 1.9
8767
#24
5.90.1
6.86.7
Auto0.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed