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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473001020406070805935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
31.92.1
19.922.0
Auto9.6
Teleop20.2
End2.1
red by 13.2
2145
#19
18.70.7
10.711.4
Auto7.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Second
1
#8
21.82.1
10.612.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.3
End1.5
red by 8.3
9242
#22
13.50.7
9.610.3
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End1.2
Third
3618
#32
13.32.1
9.711.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 5.2
5538
#27
8.00.7
8.79.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed