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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433101020506070804237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#6
23.40.3
16.817.1
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 4.5
18.90.5
11.611.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Second
16.60.3
13.413.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 4.5
7784
#13
12.10.5
8.58.0
Auto1.6
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
6610
#20
8.60.3
7.27.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.3
End1.3
red by 1.1
4994
#38
7.50.5
9.79.1
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned