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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44460204060804945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#14
22.10.7
20.519.7
Auto9.4
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 0.1
245
#18
22.00.4
17.517.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Second
7166
#15
20.10.7
12.511.8
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End2.2
red by 1.7
5660
#35
18.50.4
14.815.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End1.2
Third
8767
#24
5.90.7
7.56.8
Auto0.4
Teleop3.7
End1.8
blue by 0.9
6631
#17
6.70.4
9.69.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed