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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2943010205060702339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7491
#34
12.70.8
10.29.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 8.8
1506
#11
21.50.9
18.417.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Second
5260
#29
9.50.8
7.87.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
red by 1.1
9650
#30
8.30.9
9.78.8
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Third
7202
#39
7.80.8
10.29.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 0.3
9757
#25
8.10.9
9.08.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed